The Social Security Dividend
"Privatized Privatization"

Social Security Dividend: The Numbers in Today's Dollars
The Social Security Dividend is a great deal for you and your heirs, as the following charts will show.

A quick summary of the numbers we're talking about appears below. It shows expected benefits and total FICA for a 32 year old working today, listed by average income.

32 years old in 2005
Average
Income
SSB Earnings FICA
$10,000$7,548$424,400$44,986
$30,000$13,944$1,298,900$137,683
$50,000$19,548$2,163,300$229,310
$70,000$22,548$3,031,300$321,318
$90,000$25,548$3,807,300$405,574
Abbreviations:
  • SSB: yearly Social Security Benefit
  • SSC: yearly SSC dividend
  • FICA: lifetime FICA contributions
  • Earnings: lifetime earnings
  • Total SSB: estimated lifetime SSB
  • $100/F: $100 portion of FICA

So, for example, you see that if I am earning $50K now, I can expect to pay a total of $229,310 in FICA toward my retirement*. Now let's see what $100 worth of FICA becomes if the 32 year old retires in 2039.

Now let's compare the return you'll get from $100 worth of SSC. Returns have been adjusted for income tax on $100/F and capital gains tax on SSCs. Remember, SSCs represent twice the FICA, so $100 in SSCs is $200/F.

$100 SSC vs. $100/FICA
Avg income $10K $30K $50K $70K $90K
$100/FICA $12.58/yr $7.60/yr $6.39/yr $5.26/yr $4.75/yr
$100 SSC $28.52/yr $17.22/yr $14.49/yr $11.93/yr $10.76/yr

Owning my Social Security benefits pays over twice as much as your own benefits on a dollar for dollar basis!

Next I have a chart showing the expected total pre-tax dividend from an SSC depending on my lifespan. Each line represents a different average income. Note that these numbers are generic for all workers, except they've paid $100 instead of $50.

That's a deal you just can't afford to pass up.

The SSC Formula
The actual formula used for calculating the SSC dividend is this:

D = SSB * ($100/F) where:

D = yearly dividend
SSB = Total Social Security benefit per year
F = Total lifetime FICA contribution

SSC Prices
You might be thinking you're better off waiting to buy an SSC the month before I retire, since the $100 FICA basis remains constant. But the SSC issue price will be adjusted for inflation each year from 2005 onward. This preserves the relative value of a 2005 SSC vs. a 2038 SSC.

Here is a chart showing the estimated SSC prices adjusted for inflation through 2039.


*All values used for "Earnings" and "SSB" are estimates from www.ssa.gov's benefits calculator. FICA calculations use 10.6% basis that is used for OASI, excluding the 1.8% basis for Disability and 2.9% for Medicare.